{"id":38,"date":"2026-06-03T09:28:33","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T09:28:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/?p=38"},"modified":"2026-06-03T10:01:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T10:01:50","slug":"zmeny-v-socialni-pomoci","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/?p=38","title":{"rendered":"P\u0159ipravte se na El Ni\u00f1o, varuje WMO"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e1stup klimatick\u00e9ho jevu El Ni\u00f1o je podle Sv\u011btov\u00e9 meteorologick\u00e9 organizace (WMO) u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u00fd. Organizace varuje, \u017ee sv\u011bt se mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst glob\u00e1ln\u00edch teplot, zm\u011bny sr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f i&nbsp;vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed riziko extr\u00e9mn\u00edch projev\u016f po\u010das\u00ed. Prvn\u00ed dopady se mohou projevit u\u017e b\u011bhem leto\u0161n\u00edho l\u00e9ta, kter\u00e9 by m\u011blo b\u00fdt ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b region\u016f sv\u011bta teplotn\u011b nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u010cl\u00e1nek<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku doch\u00e1z\u00ed k&nbsp;rychl\u00e9mu oteplov\u00e1n\u00ed st\u0159edov\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti rovn\u00edkov\u00e9ho Pacifiku. Jde o&nbsp;oblast, jej\u00ed\u017e teplota se vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 ke sledov\u00e1n\u00ed oce\u00e1nsk\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu El Ni\u00f1o&nbsp;\u2013 Ji\u017en\u00ed oscilace (ENSO), kter\u00fd p\u0159irozen\u011b ovliv\u0148uje klima na cel\u00e9 Zemi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jeho tepl\u00e1 f\u00e1ze El Ni\u00f1o, charakteristick\u00e1 nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b teplou vodou v&nbsp;tropick\u00e9m Pacifiku, se obvykle za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 rozv\u00edjet na ja\u0159e a&nbsp;vrcholu dosahuje na p\u0159elomu roku. Podle aktu\u00e1ln\u00edch m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed se ji\u017e teplotn\u00ed odchylky pohybuj\u00ed v&nbsp;hodnot\u00e1ch odpov\u00eddaj\u00edc\u00edch n\u00e1stupu tohoto jevu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Podle&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/publication-series\/el-ninola-nina-updates\">aktualizovan\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi WMO<\/a>&nbsp;existuje p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b osmdes\u00e1tiprocentn\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost v\u00fdskytu El Ni\u00f1a b\u011bhem l\u00e9ta 2026.&nbsp;Na podzim pak pravd\u011bpodobnost jeho v\u00fdskytu stoup\u00e1 t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 k&nbsp;jistot\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/pocasi-blizi-se-super-el-nino-pred-150-lety-prispelo-k-hladomoru-milionu-lidi-40580660\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/pocasi-blizi-se-super-el-nino-pred-150-lety-prispelo-k-hladomoru-milionu-lidi-40580660\">Bl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed se super El Ni\u00f1o. P\u0159ed 150&nbsp;lety p\u0159isp\u011blo k&nbsp;hladomoru milion\u016f lid\u00ed<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/sekce\/pocasi-14\">Po\u010das\u00ed<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/pocasi-blizi-se-super-el-nino-pred-150-lety-prispelo-k-hladomoru-milionu-lidi-40580660\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><a class=\"c_N\" href=\"https:\/\/www.novinky.cz\/clanek\/pocasi-blizi-se-super-el-nino-pred-150-lety-prispelo-k-hladomoru-milionu-lidi-40580660\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d15-a.sdn.cz\/d_15\/c_img_qB_A\/nO2CysqjGrCP7qOCUKGwKETT\/5f14\/el-nino-sucho.jpeg?fl=cro,0,0,4096,2304%7Cres,160,,1%7Cwebp,75\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eSv\u011bt mus\u00ed k&nbsp;El Ni\u00f1u p\u0159istupovat jako k&nbsp;nal\u00e9hav\u00e9mu klimatick\u00e9mu varov\u00e1n\u00ed. Jeho podm\u00ednky je\u0161t\u011b p\u0159ilij\u00ed olej do ohn\u011b otepluj\u00edc\u00edho se sv\u011bta. Dopady budou siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, budou se \u0161\u00ed\u0159it d\u00e1le a&nbsp;p\u0159ekra\u010dovat hranice s&nbsp;ni\u010divou rychlost\u00ed,\u201c uvedl ve&nbsp;<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/us.list-manage.com\/D8rEzmiX81O?e=9044e97811&amp;c2id=ed4fe99004b66f1d71cb6770cc35c7ae\">sv\u00e9m prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed<\/a>&nbsp;gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemn\u00edk OSN Ant\u00f3nio Guterres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i.imedia.cz\/v2\/click?spotId=4159071&amp;d=CVRPE59FNC5DZHFJ7JIVRSKNQYPEF9E9Z3RMIHFPHI6TUXDY8VD2R7TJZFCRID8TQJ5Q6XBC7KPQ2SK8A9CAK8DQ5I5WH45MBTCXN45HH6V8WTT3I6EPWYVUTBHQNDGN585KC8IVCAA3RD66V7XTJQGVRFMIWSJ9P6JWRQGA6Q69J82VGCVI2TUJDUX5PWRYCFDN4F333ZR2B6RSS9ZIKSTI3EZ35NZQHBGNNGMF2JR4PNYY7C5SSB6KDZ5FISSAW4EZBAFC95UCDNDWX9F5TMU8RWCW9FY6G8FGSF4VTVI6I2PUQENMK7A77HA55A9XVE7T9Z73J8J6ZS5BH8UI7KAEAX9FWS4BCFKNZY56FIGM3M3SHWMCCZMZUXWEIYQNJCF5U&amp;destination=https%3A\/\/talks.seznamzpravy.cz\/fasady-se-necisti-jen-kvuli-vzhledu-ale-hlavne-pro-zdravi%3Futm_source%3DSeznam%26utm_medium%3DN_InA_D_1\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i.imedia.cz\/v2\/click?spotId=4159071&amp;d=CVRPE59FNC5DZHFJ7JIVRSKNQYPEF9E9Z3RMIHFPHI6TUXDY8VD2R7TJZFCRID8TQJ5Q6XBC7KPQ2SK8A9CAK8DQ5I5WH45MBTCXN45HH6V8WTT3I6EPWYVUTBHQNDGN585KC8IVCAA3RD66V7XTJQGVRFMIWSJ9P6JWRQGA6Q69J82VGCVI2TUJDUX5PWRYCFDN4F333ZR2B6RSS9ZIKSTI3EZ35NZQHBGNNGMF2JR4PNYY7C5SSB6KDZ5FISSAW4EZBAFC95UCDNDWX9F5TMU8RWCW9FY6G8FGSF4VTVI6I2PUQENMK7A77HA55A9XVE7T9Z73J8J6ZS5BH8UI7KAEAX9FWS4BCFKNZY56FIGM3M3SHWMCCZMZUXWEIYQNJCF5U&amp;destination=https%3A\/\/talks.seznamzpravy.cz\/fasady-se-necisti-jen-kvuli-vzhledu-ale-hlavne-pro-zdravi%3Futm_source%3DSeznam%26utm_medium%3DN_InA_D_1\">Pro\u010d v\u00fdskyt nevzhledn\u00fdch skvrn na fas\u00e1d\u011b p\u0159edstavuje zdravotn\u00ed probl\u00e9m?<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/ssp.seznam.cz\/ad-info#eyJhIjpbeyJpIjoiQS00MTU5MDcxIiwiYiI6IlVNWUpFTSBUTyBzLnIuby4iLCJwIjoiVU1ZSkVNIFRPIHMuci5vLiIsInIiOlsyXX1dLCJzIjoxLCJsIjowfQ\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/i.imedia.cz\/v2\/click?spotId=4159071&amp;d=CVRPE59FNC5DZHFJ7JIVRSKNQYPEF9E9Z3RMIHFPHI6TUXDY8VD2R7TJZFCRID8TQJ5Q6XBC7KPQ2SK8A9CAK8DQ5I5WH45MBTCXN45HH6V8WTT3I6EPWYVUTBHQNDGN585KC8IVCAA3RD66V7XTJQGVRFMIWSJ9P6JWRQGA6Q69J82VGCVI2TUJDUX5PWRYCFDN4F333ZR2B6RSS9ZIKSTI3EZ35NZQHBGNNGMF2JR4PNYY7C5SSB6KDZ5FISSAW4EZBAFC95UCDNDWX9F5TMU8RWCW9FY6G8FGSF4VTVI6I2PUQENMK7A77HA55A9XVE7T9Z73J8J6ZS5BH8UI7KAEAX9FWS4BCFKNZY56FIGM3M3SHWMCCZMZUXWEIYQNJCF5U&amp;destination=https%3A\/\/talks.seznamzpravy.cz\/fasady-se-necisti-jen-kvuli-vzhledu-ale-hlavne-pro-zdravi%3Futm_source%3DSeznam%26utm_medium%3DN_InA_D_1\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">P\u0159ipravenost bude d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ohledn\u011b s\u00edly a&nbsp;na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed vrcholu jevu El Ni\u00f1o st\u00e1le p\u0159etrv\u00e1v\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00e1 nejistota souvisej\u00edc\u00ed s&nbsp;takzvanou jarn\u00ed bari\u00e9rou p\u0159edpov\u011bditelnosti. V\u011bt\u0161ina klimatick\u00fdch model\u016f v\u0161ak nazna\u010duje, \u017ee leto\u0161n\u00ed tepl\u00e1 f\u00e1ze ENSO by mohla pat\u0159it k&nbsp;nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00edm v&nbsp;historii m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eMus\u00edme se p\u0159ipravit na potenci\u00e1ln\u011b siln\u00fd jev, kter\u00fd p\u0159inese extr\u00e9mn\u00ed epizody sucha a&nbsp;vydatn\u00fdch sr\u00e1\u017eek a&nbsp;zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed riziko vln veder. Posledn\u00ed El Ni\u00f1o v&nbsp;letech 2023&nbsp;a\u017e 2024&nbsp;p\u0159isp\u011bl k&nbsp;rekordn\u00edm glob\u00e1ln\u00edm teplot\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 vyvrcholily dosud nejteplej\u0161\u00edm rokem v&nbsp;historii m\u011b\u0159en\u00ed,\u201c uvedla gener\u00e1ln\u00ed tajemnice WMO Celeste Saulov\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d15-a.sdn.cz\/d_15\/c_img_qC_A\/nO2CysqjGrScbvDvXGxzi9p\/0a5a\/wmo-el-nino-srazky.png?fl=cro,0,0,2250,2250%7Cres,1200,,1%7Cwebp,75\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Zm\u011bna sr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch vzorc\u016f b\u011bhem jevu El Ni\u00f1o<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aktualizovan\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi El Ni\u00f1a od WMO vych\u00e1zej\u00ed z&nbsp;konsenzu model\u016f glob\u00e1ln\u00edch produk\u010dn\u00edch center WMO, odborn\u00edk\u016f z&nbsp;n\u00e1rodn\u00edch meteorologick\u00fdch slu\u017eeb i&nbsp;klimatick\u00fdch center. Jejich c\u00edlem je poskytnout v\u010dasn\u00e9 informace vl\u00e1d\u00e1m, humanit\u00e1rn\u00edm organizac\u00edm a&nbsp;odv\u011btv\u00edm citliv\u00fdm na v\u00fdkyvy klimatu, jako jsou zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed, zdravotnictv\u00ed, energetika nebo vodn\u00ed hospod\u00e1\u0159stv\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u201eP\u0159edb\u011b\u017en\u00e9 sez\u00f3nn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi a&nbsp;v\u010dasn\u00e1 varov\u00e1n\u00ed jsou z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro z\u00e1chranu \u017eivot\u016f a&nbsp;zm\u00edrn\u011bn\u00ed dopad\u016f na ekonomiku i&nbsp;na\u0161e komunity,\u201c dodala Saulov\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u010cek\u00e1 n\u00e1s tepl\u00e9 l\u00e9to<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dopady ka\u017ed\u00e9ho jevu El Ni\u00f1o se li\u0161\u00ed v&nbsp;z\u00e1vislosti na jeho intenzit\u011b, d\u00e9lce trv\u00e1n\u00ed i&nbsp;interakci s&nbsp;dal\u0161\u00edmi klimatick\u00fdmi syst\u00e9my. Nejv\u00fdrazn\u011bji se obvykle projevuj\u00ed v&nbsp;tropick\u00fdch oblastech. Evropa pat\u0159\u00ed mezi regiony, kde je jeho vliv m\u00e9n\u011b jednozna\u010dn\u00fd, proto\u017ee zdej\u0161\u00ed po\u010das\u00ed v\u00fdznamn\u011b ovliv\u0148uje tak\u00e9 severoatlantick\u00e1 oscilace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">WMO v\u0161ak z\u00e1rove\u0148 zve\u0159ejnila dopl\u0148kovou klimatickou p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f pro leto\u0161n\u00ed l\u00e9to, kter\u00e1 nazna\u010duje v\u00fdrazn\u00fd vliv El Ni\u00f1a na glob\u00e1ln\u00ed teplotn\u00ed pom\u011bry. Pro obdob\u00ed od \u010dervna do srpna se ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b sv\u011btov\u00fdch region\u016f o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 teploty.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/d15-a.sdn.cz\/d_15\/c_img_qC_A\/nO2CysqjGrCe62ND1VGxzlEC\/7751\/wmo-el-nino-teplota-leto.png?fl=cro,0,0,1080,1080%7Cres,1200,,1%7Cwebp,75\" alt=\"\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Leto\u0161n\u00ed l\u00e9to bude podle p\u0159edpov\u011bdn\u00edch model\u016f ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b region\u016f nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u011b tepl\u00e9.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Takov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky by mohly na severn\u00ed polokouli zv\u00fd\u0161it pravd\u011bpodobnost intenzivn\u00edch a&nbsp;d\u00e9letrvaj\u00edc\u00edch vln veder. S&nbsp;nimi souvis\u00ed i&nbsp;vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed tepeln\u00fd stres pro obyvatele zasa\u017een\u00fdch oblast\u00ed. Rostouc\u00ed glob\u00e1ln\u00ed teploty mohou negativn\u011b ovlivnit tak\u00e9 Evropu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vysok\u00e9 teploty mohou v&nbsp;\u0159ad\u011b region\u016f se sn\u00ed\u017een\u00fdm mno\u017estv\u00edm sr\u00e1\u017eek podpo\u0159it rozvoj sucha. V&nbsp;jin\u00fdch \u010d\u00e1stech sv\u011bta se naopak zv\u00fd\u0161\u00ed riziko povodn\u00ed a&nbsp;z\u00e1plav. El Ni\u00f1o by tak mohl v&nbsp;n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch m\u011bs\u00edc\u00edch p\u0159isp\u011bt k&nbsp;\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00edm a&nbsp;intenzivn\u011bj\u0161\u00edm extr\u00e9m\u016fm po\u010das\u00ed po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>N\u00e1stup klimatick\u00e9ho jevu El Ni\u00f1o je podle Sv\u011btov\u00e9 meteorologick\u00e9 organizace (WMO) u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 jist\u00fd. Organizace varuje, \u017ee sv\u011bt se mus\u00ed p\u0159ipravit na dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst glob\u00e1ln\u00edch teplot, zm\u011bny sr\u00e1\u017ekov\u00fdch re\u017eim\u016f i&nbsp;vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed riziko extr\u00e9mn\u00edch projev\u016f po\u010das\u00ed. Prvn\u00ed dopady se mohou projevit u\u017e b\u011bhem leto\u0161n\u00edho l\u00e9ta, kter\u00e9 by m\u011blo b\u00fdt ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b region\u016f sv\u011bta teplotn\u011b nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9. \u010cl\u00e1nek Od [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=38"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":114,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38\/revisions\/114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=38"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=38"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/studenti.esoz.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=38"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}